Having a clutch kicker is a luxury that most NFL fans would die for. In today’s NFL, there’s really only one kicker that everybody trusts to get the job done when the game is on the line: Baltimore’s Justin Tucker. Sure, there have been years where guys like Adam Vinatieri, Harrison Butker, Stephen Gostkowski, Sebastian Janikowski, and David Akers might have been named in the same company as Tucker, but none of them compare to the ruthless efficiency that is Tucker.
Although he’s never had a perfect season, Tucker has a career 91.3 field goal percentage (the best of all-time, minimum 25 attempts). When the game is on the line, Tucker is the most-trusted person to ice the game. Nobody is at his level.
Well, I’d like to nominate Raiders’ kicker Daniel Carlson. While his career percentage may not be up to par with the likes of Tucker or even Butker, Carlson has steadily improved and has officially earned himself the “clutch” denomination.
Let’s start with the most obvious case for Carlson, his 38 consecutive field goals made. With the Raiders on bye in Week 6, Carlson will have gone almost an entire calendar year since his last missed field goal. Since then, he’s answered the call every time he’s been asked.
The NFL record for most consecutive field goals made is 44 by Vinatieri, then with the Colts, over the 2015 and 2016 seasons. The longest streak of Tucker’s career is just 35, set between Dec. 13, 2015, and Dec. 4, 2016. While Tucker is currently on a streak of 28 consecutive makes, he’s still a long way from breaking his record or even catching up to Carlson’s current streak.
Not to mention, Carlson is automatic from way deep. Since the start of the 2020 season, both Carlson and Tucker have attempted exactly 15 field goals from 50-plus yards out. Carlson is 14-of-15. Tucker is 13-of-15, and just for perspective, Butker is 12-of-14 in that span.
Through five games, Carlson is on pace to lead the NFL in both field goal attempts and field goals made for the second consecutive season. Justin Tucker has only had one such season: 2013. Through his age-27 season, Tucker had three seasons with a field goal percentage greater than 90 percent. Carlson is currently on pace to match that. However, through his age-27 season, Tucker had a career 70 percent field goal percentage from 50-plus yards. Carlson currently sits at 85 percent.
Tucker is far superior when it comes to extra points. The man is hitting those at an astonishingly high 98.8 percent for his career, and 98.3 percent since the extra point got moved back in 2015. Carlson has a 94.6 percent rate on extra points. However, that’s still an incredible success rate by NFL standards. It’s better than Butker (94 percent), Nick Folk (92.3 percent since 2015), and Vinatieri (92.1 percent between 2015 and 2019). These are some of the most reliable kickers in the league and Carlson has them surpassed in both field goal percentage and extra point percentage.
Above all else though, Carlson has inspired confidence in Raiders’ fans, and that says a lot considering the Raiders love to lose games in devastating fashion. On a team where anything can happen, a Raiders’ field goal seems about as certain as death or taxes nowadays. As the Raiders tried to march down the field during their two-minute drill in last night’s game, the few Raiders fans I was with felt great about their chances. It wasn’t because they trusted Derek Carr to move them downfield, but because they knew that if Carlson was given the opportunity, he would make it. That type of confidence with the game on the line isn’t something that can be overstated.
Is Carlson as good as Tucker? I’m not ready to make that distinction. Tucker has been kicking at an elite level for far longer than Carlson has, but Carlson should be part of that elite tier alongside Tucker. He’s undoubtedly the second-best kicker in the NFL right now, and he’s clutch as hell.
Who’s to blame for Atlanta Hawks turmoil — Trae Young or Nate McMillan?
Here’s a multiple choice essay question. You’ve got a blossoming superstar in Trae Young who has plateaued after some early career triumphs. Young is 24, played in a conference finals two seasons ago, but he’s also got a penchant for taking too many heat-check shots which are exhilarating to watch go in, but most observers shudder when he hits inevitable cold streaks.
However, Young has been working through soreness in his right shoulder, and during a shootaround Friday, was undergoing treatment on his shoulder according to The Athletic’s Shams Charania and Sam Amick, when an argument between McMillan and Young erupted.
According to The Athletic, McMillan did not approve of Young’s stance and presented him with an ultimatum: Play off the bench or don’t show up to the arena. As a result, Young was surprisingly scratched from Atlanta’s lineup before their home contest on Friday against the Denver Nuggets.
So how would you respond?
A) Nate McMillan was right to give Trae Young an ultimatum!
B) Trae Young beefs with every coach. No big deal.
C) This is about more than just one shootaround.
D) All of the above
Correct Answer: D
McMillan needed to ease up, but he and Young have never vibed on the same frequency, and it remains to be seen if McMillan’s coaching style even fits this franchise’s needs.
McMillan chalked his dispute with Young up to a misunderstanding, but leaders in a locker room shouldn’t have the communication standards of two strangers arguing in a nightclub. In a climate where organizations hand nights off to their star players at a dizzying pace, treating one of the NBA’s most high-usage stars like a problematic diva before a low-stakes early December matchup, while he receives treatment on a shoulder injury, hints at some turmoil bubbling beneath the surface.
To paraphrase the sage words of Allen Iverson, “we’re talkin’ about shootarounds. Not a game, not a game, not a game, but a shootaround.” To his credit, Young is surprisingly durable, despite being one of the league’s bantamweight guards. In five seasons, he’s missed only 23 games.
However, this is about more than just one failure to communicate. Young and McMillan are speaking different languages. Since Atlanta’s run to the Eastern Conference finals in 2021, McMillan’s connection with Young has deteriorated to the point that the Hawks have held several team meetings to address their issues. Lloyd Pierce’s record led to his firing, but discord with Young was also at the forefront of his departure.
McMillan and Young’s tenuous relationship wouldn’t be as much of a concern if the Hawks were producing wins at the pace expected of them. Their 13-10 record to start the season is strikingly similar to Atlanta’s sluggish 12-11 record through its first 23 games in 2021. To McMillan’s credit, the shorthanded Hawks are still fourth in the East and beat Denver on Friday, 117-109. However, Atlanta is also three games out of the Play-In Tournament, and the team’s ceiling has more leaks in it than when team president Travis Schlenk constructed his Dejounte Murray-Trae Young backcourt atrium.
The white-hot offense that torched opposing defenses and led the league in points per 100 possessions last season is no more. The Young-Murray Hawks have improved from the 26th-worst defense to the top-10, but at the expense of their halfcourt offense, which is now a bottom-10 unit. McMillan’s offense ranks last in 3-pointers made, is ranked 22nd in effective field-goal percentage, which weighs 3-pointers more heavily and they’re missing the je ne sais quoi that made them an All-League Pass team.
Atlanta’s Kevin Huerter trade illustrates how the Hawks front office and their coaching staff have mismanaged their roster. Soon after the offseason of Dejounte Murray, Atlanta shipped Huerter, 24, to Sacramento in exchange for 33-year-old Justin Holiday, 29-year-old Mo Harkless and a 2024 first-round pick. The Hawks envisioned Huerter evolving into Klay Thompson Lite, playing off of Young, but more importantly they seemed to be taking a chance on Sacramento stumbling so they could inherit a lottery pick.
Instead, Huerter has reached new heights playing in Sacramento’s more decentralized offensive system that ranks second in the NBA in assists and more closely resembles Golden State’s than Atlanta’s Trae Young central attack.
Back to Huerter. In Sacramento, Mike Brown has channeled Huerter’s brilliance into a battery powering the NBA’s second-highest scoring team. He’s the NBA’s most frequent scorer off of handoffs and his two-man game with Domantas Sabonis has allowed him to flex his entire range of skills. Starting alongside Fox, Huerter is averaging a career-high 15.5 points per game, shooting better than 42 percent behind the arc and taking nearly seven 3s per game. He wasn’t getting those looks in Atlanta.
After getting bagged up by the Miami Heat in a first-round sweep last season, Atlanta didn’t just need a personnel change, they needed a cleanse. Trae Young needs a shooting profile that is more similar to Steph’s than James Harden’s. Young’s struggles are a microcosm of what ails the Hawks. They aren’t putting their offensive stars in the best position to score. Atlanta is heavily reliant on predictable isolations and runs more pick-and-rolls than all but one team. Even with De’Aaron Fox at the point, Sacramento has gone the Golden State route by running fewer pick-and-rolls than any team after ranking fifth during their abysmal 2021-22 campaign.
Last season, 14.2 percent of Young’s 2-point field goals were assisted on and 22.3 percent of his 3-balls were. Young has improved slightly, but only to 15 percent assisted 2-pointers and 38 percent of his 3-point makes.
Curry, the most efficient off-the-dribble shooter in league history, is scoring 36.5 percent of his 2-point field goals off of assists, nearly three times Young’s rate. On triples? 58 percent of the time. Getting Young easier buckets so he’s not wearing himself out would be a path to assure McMillan’s future employment in Atlanta.
How Schlenk navigates their plans to trade John Collins will determine Atlanta’s short-term success, but the hands on McMillan’s clock are approaching midnight. Former Warriors assistant Mike Brown unlocked the peak-Red Velvet version of Huerter that Atlanta thought they were getting. Atlanta upgraded the roster, but not the staff that deploys it. If the tumult continues in Atlanta, they may want to consider taking a bite off the Golden State coaching tree.
Japan vs Croatia LIVE! World Cup 2022 match stream, latest team news, lineups, TV, prediction
Japan this afternoon will look to add another famous scalp to an already remarkable World Cup run when they face 2018 finalists Croatia. With Spain and Germany already put to the sword, a place in the quarter-finals is now up for grabs. The Samurai Blue have never made it to the last eight.
Croatia are the seasoned veterans, though, with a midfield of Luka Modric and Mateo Kovacic and the versatile Ivan Perisic patrolling the flank, meaning little with phase them at the Al Janoub Stadium today. Head coach Zlatko Dalic says his country continue to perform punch above their weight and a last-eight spot would be just their third in history.
The winner will face the victor between Brazil and South Korea, who play later today. Follow the game LIVE below with our dedicated match blog, featuring expert insight and analysis from Nizaar Kinsella at Al Janoub Stadium.
Croatia team news: Defenders taken ill
For Croatia, left-back Borna Sosa could be sidelined due to illness, while defender Josip Stanisic has a muscle issue. Otherwise manager Zlatko Dalic chould have a full squad to choose from.
Japan team news: Tomiyasu looking to start
Hiroki Sakai and Takehiro Tomiyasu should both be fit for Japan today, although Ko Itakura is suspended and there is an injury doubt over Takefusa Kubo.
How to watch
TV channel: In the UK, the match will be televised free-to-air and live on BBC One, with coverage beginning at 2.30pm.
Live stream: Fans can also catch the game live online via the BBC iPlayer and BBC Sport website.
Good afternoon and welcome to the Evening Standard’s LIVE coverage of the World Cup last-16 clash between Japan and Croatia.
Japan have never made it to the quarter-finals, while Croatia are looking to at least emulate their runners-up spot from four years ago.
Kick-off at the Al Janoub Stadium is at 3pm GMT. Stick with us.
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