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Bettors banking on massive underdog Detroit Lions Super Bowl win

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Detroit Lions wide receivers DJ Chark, Jr. and Amon-Ra St. Brown celebrate a touchdown

The Detroit Lions are receiving bets to win the Super Bowl
Image: Getty Images

For many moons, the Detroit Lions have been the laughingstock of the NFL. They’ve been the Cleveland Browns of the NFC, the clowns at the circus, the Packers’ little brothers who just want to get a seat at the adult table on Thanksgiving — but not anymore. Through two weeks, the Detroit Lions have shown life. They’ve shown grit. They’ve been enjoyable, and they’ve impressed numerous people across America. After Week 1 saw the Lions battle tough against one of the best teams in the NFC, the Philadelphia Eagles, Week 2 saw the Lions jump out to a big lead early on the Washington Commanders. While the Commanders did claw their way back to bring the score within single digits, most onlookers agreed that the Lions never really lost control. They looked solid.

Now, anyone who’s been watching the Lions in recent years could’ve told you that their record wasn’t indicative of how good the team actually was. In 2021, the Lions had the second-worst record in the league. However, they were also 1-6-1 in one-possession games last year. That’s not normal. You’d expect a team to be about .500 in those situations. Detroit wasn’t anywhere close. Couple that with a more healthy offensive line, improved passing game weapons, and an improved pass rush, and it’s no wonder that the Lions are suddenly looking like kings in their jungle. They’ve also got one of the easiest schedules in the NFL, with 10 games against teams that were under .500 last season. Yeah, they’ll probably get smoked on national TV on Thanksgiving Day against the Buffalo Bills. That will probably turn a lot of people away from the Lions, but hey, the Rams also got smoked by the Bills on national TV and I don’t see anybody fading the Rams right now.

Sports bettors are the most intrigued by the Lions thus far. This whole week, the Lions have been a favorite at sportsbooks. On Tuesday, the Lions received 16.7 percent of bets to win the Super Bowl. That tied them with the Bills for the second-most, behind only the Kansas City Chiefs, who received 25 percent of all Super Bowl bets. This is shocking. When it comes to individual games, it’s normal to see bettors back the underdogs in hopes of massive payouts. However, that almost never happens when it comes to championship bets. The phrase is “any given Sunday,” not “any given season.”

Hell, the Lions still aren’t expected to even reach the playoffs. According to OddsChecker US, the Lions are listed at -350 to miss the playoffs, meaning they’re being given a 77.8 percent chance to miss the playoffs altogether. Despite their hot start, they still have +10000 odds to win the Super Bowl, putting them tied for 23rd in the NFL with the likes of the Pittsburgh Steelers, Jacksonville Jaguars, and Washington Commanders. Should those odds be higher? Absolutely, especially given the fact that the Lions beat the Commanders convincingly in their home opener last weekend.

That’s probably why so many people are inclined to bet on the Lions this week. They noticed how hard the Lions laid the smack down on Washington, and the fact that they’re still tied with the Commanders in terms of Super Bowl odds is a slap in the face to Detroit’s early-season accomplishments.

It’s not just the Super Bowl odds that bettors love though. The Lions are the most backed underdog to win this Sunday, receiving 66.7 percent of moneyline bets as six-point underdogs to their division rivals, the Minnesota Vikings. Now, the Lions haven’t won in Minnesota since 2017, but I understand why so many people could see Detroit walking away with a victory this Sunday. The most obvious reason is how each team fared in their games against the Philadelphia Eagles. While neither team got out to a hot start, the Lions showed fight, clawing back to make it a close game by the final whistle. Meanwhile, the Vikings couldn’t get anything going. They looked outclassed against Philadelphia, like a deer in headlights — or Sam Darnold against the Patriots. Based on the transitive property, it’d be a slam dunk home run bet, right? Math has never failed us before, but we know better. We know that isn’t how football works.

The Vikings should be a favorite, but I’m also glad to see everyone giving Detroit the credit they deserve. Detroit doesn’t have the same defense that Philadelphia does, and we all know that Kirk Cousins struggles mightily in primetime games. Thus we shouldn’t expect a repeat performance of last week. This game should be a shootout, and as long as Irv Smith Jr. continues dropping sure touchdown passes, the Lions will have a pretty good shot at moving above .500.



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Who’s to blame for Atlanta Hawks turmoil — Trae Young or Nate McMillan?

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Nate McMillan and Trae Young

Nate McMillan and Trae Young
Photo: Getty Images

Here’s a multiple choice essay question. You’ve got a blossoming superstar in Trae Young who has plateaued after some early career triumphs. Young is 24, played in a conference finals two seasons ago, but he’s also got a penchant for taking too many heat-check shots which are exhilarating to watch go in, but most observers shudder when he hits inevitable cold streaks.

However, Young has been working through soreness in his right shoulder, and during a shootaround Friday, was undergoing treatment on his shoulder according to The Athletic’s Shams Charania and Sam Amick, when an argument between McMillan and Young erupted.

According to The Athletic, McMillan did not approve of Young’s stance and presented him with an ultimatum: Play off the bench or don’t show up to the arena. As a result, Young was surprisingly scratched from Atlanta’s lineup before their home contest on Friday against the Denver Nuggets.

So how would you respond?

A) Nate McMillan was right to give Trae Young an ultimatum!

B) Trae Young beefs with every coach. No big deal.

C) This is about more than just one shootaround.

D) All of the above

Correct Answer: D

McMillan needed to ease up, but he and Young have never vibed on the same frequency, and it remains to be seen if McMillan’s coaching style even fits this franchise’s needs.

McMillan chalked his dispute with Young up to a misunderstanding, but leaders in a locker room shouldn’t have the communication standards of two strangers arguing in a nightclub. In a climate where organizations hand nights off to their star players at a dizzying pace, treating one of the NBA’s most high-usage stars like a problematic diva before a low-stakes early December matchup, while he receives treatment on a shoulder injury, hints at some turmoil bubbling beneath the surface.

To paraphrase the sage words of Allen Iverson, “we’re talkin’ about shootarounds. Not a game, not a game, not a game, but a shootaround.” To his credit, Young is surprisingly durable, despite being one of the league’s bantamweight guards. In five seasons, he’s missed only 23 games.

However, this is about more than just one failure to communicate. Young and McMillan are speaking different languages. Since Atlanta’s run to the Eastern Conference finals in 2021, McMillan’s connection with Young has deteriorated to the point that the Hawks have held several team meetings to address their issues. Lloyd Pierce’s record led to his firing, but discord with Young was also at the forefront of his departure.

McMillan and Young’s tenuous relationship wouldn’t be as much of a concern if the Hawks were producing wins at the pace expected of them. Their 13-10 record to start the season is strikingly similar to Atlanta’s sluggish 12-11 record through its first 23 games in 2021. To McMillan’s credit, the shorthanded Hawks are still fourth in the East and beat Denver on Friday, 117-109. However, Atlanta is also three games out of the Play-In Tournament, and the team’s ceiling has more leaks in it than when team president Travis Schlenk constructed his Dejounte Murray-Trae Young backcourt atrium.

The white-hot offense that torched opposing defenses and led the league in points per 100 possessions last season is no more. The Young-Murray Hawks have improved from the 26th-worst defense to the top-10, but at the expense of their halfcourt offense, which is now a bottom-10 unit. McMillan’s offense ranks last in 3-pointers made, is ranked 22nd in effective field-goal percentage, which weighs 3-pointers more heavily and they’re missing the je ne sais quoi that made them an All-League Pass team.

Atlanta’s Kevin Huerter trade illustrates how the Hawks front office and their coaching staff have mismanaged their roster. Soon after the offseason of Dejounte Murray, Atlanta shipped Huerter, 24, to Sacramento in exchange for 33-year-old Justin Holiday, 29-year-old Mo Harkless and a 2024 first-round pick. The Hawks envisioned Huerter evolving into Klay Thompson Lite, playing off of Young, but more importantly they seemed to be taking a chance on Sacramento stumbling so they could inherit a lottery pick.

Instead, Huerter has reached new heights playing in Sacramento’s more decentralized offensive system that ranks second in the NBA in assists and more closely resembles Golden State’s than Atlanta’s Trae Young central attack.

Back to Huerter. In Sacramento, Mike Brown has channeled Huerter’s brilliance into a battery powering the NBA’s second-highest scoring team. He’s the NBA’s most frequent scorer off of handoffs and his two-man game with Domantas Sabonis has allowed him to flex his entire range of skills. Starting alongside Fox, Huerter is averaging a career-high 15.5 points per game, shooting better than 42 percent behind the arc and taking nearly seven 3s per game. He wasn’t getting those looks in Atlanta.

After getting bagged up by the Miami Heat in a first-round sweep last season, Atlanta didn’t just need a personnel change, they needed a cleanse. Trae Young needs a shooting profile that is more similar to Steph’s than James Harden’s. Young’s struggles are a microcosm of what ails the Hawks. They aren’t putting their offensive stars in the best position to score. Atlanta is heavily reliant on predictable isolations and runs more pick-and-rolls than all but one team. Even with De’Aaron Fox at the point, Sacramento has gone the Golden State route by running fewer pick-and-rolls than any team after ranking fifth during their abysmal 2021-22 campaign.

Last season, 14.2 percent of Young’s 2-point field goals were assisted on and 22.3 percent of his 3-balls were. Young has improved slightly, but only to 15 percent assisted 2-pointers and 38 percent of his 3-point makes.

Curry, the most efficient off-the-dribble shooter in league history, is scoring 36.5 percent of his 2-point field goals off of assists, nearly three times Young’s rate. On triples? 58 percent of the time. Getting Young easier buckets so he’s not wearing himself out would be a path to assure McMillan’s future employment in Atlanta.

How Schlenk navigates their plans to trade John Collins will determine Atlanta’s short-term success, but the hands on McMillan’s clock are approaching midnight. Former Warriors assistant Mike Brown unlocked the peak-Red Velvet version of Huerter that Atlanta thought they were getting. Atlanta upgraded the roster, but not the staff that deploys it. If the tumult continues in Atlanta, they may want to consider taking a bite off the Golden State coaching tree.





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Japan vs Croatia LIVE! World Cup 2022 match stream, latest team news, lineups, TV, prediction

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Japan this afternoon will look to add another famous scalp to an already remarkable World Cup run when they face 2018 finalists Croatia. With Spain and Germany already put to the sword, a place in the quarter-finals is now up for grabs. The Samurai Blue have never made it to the last eight.

Croatia are the seasoned veterans, though, with a midfield of Luka Modric and Mateo Kovacic and the versatile Ivan Perisic patrolling the flank, meaning little with phase them at the Al Janoub Stadium today. Head coach Zlatko Dalic says his country continue to perform punch above their weight and a last-eight spot would be just their third in history.

The winner will face the victor between Brazil and South Korea, who play later today. Follow the game LIVE below with our dedicated match blog, featuring expert insight and analysis from Nizaar Kinsella at Al Janoub Stadium.

Live updates

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Croatia team news: Defenders taken ill

For Croatia, left-back Borna Sosa could be sidelined due to illness, while defender Josip Stanisic has a muscle issue. Otherwise manager Zlatko Dalic chould have a full squad to choose from.

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Japan team news: Tomiyasu looking to start

Hiroki Sakai and Takehiro Tomiyasu should both be fit for Japan today, although Ko Itakura is suspended and there is an injury doubt over Takefusa Kubo.

Getty Images
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How to watch

TV channel: In the UK, the match will be televised free-to-air and live on BBC One, with coverage beginning at 2.30pm.

Live stream: Fans can also catch the game live online via the BBC iPlayer and BBC Sport website.

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Welcome

Good afternoon and welcome to the Evening Standard’s LIVE coverage of the World Cup last-16 clash between Japan and Croatia.

Japan have never made it to the quarter-finals, while Croatia are looking to at least emulate their runners-up spot from four years ago.

Kick-off at the Al Janoub Stadium is at 3pm GMT. Stick with us.

ES Composite



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Pakistan vs England | Day five morning highlights

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Morning session highlights from day five of the first Test between Pakistan and England in Rawalpindi.



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